The U.S. Economic Year Ahead: Regime Change, Growth and Rising Interest

RSM’s economic baseline forecast for 2025 calls for 2.5% growth, unemployment of 4.2% and PCE inflation at 2.2%.

• Growth: Lower interest rates will encourage businesses to invest in expansion.

• Inflation: Prices will continue to stabilize, helping support consumer spending.

• Unemployment: The labor market will continue to remain tight, bolstering wage growth.

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